Seven Excessive Frequency Indicators for the Financial system

These indicators are principally for journey and leisure.    It would attention-grabbing to look at these sectors recuperate because the vaccine is distributed.    IMPORTANT: Be protected now – if all goes nicely, everybody might be vaccinated by June. —– Airways: Transportation Safety Administration —– The TSA is offering each day journey numbers. Click on


These indicators are principally for journey and leisure.    It would attention-grabbing to look at these sectors recuperate because the vaccine is distributed.   

IMPORTANT: Be protected now – if all goes nicely, everybody might be vaccinated by June.


—– Airways: Transportation Safety Administration —–


The TSA is offering each day journey numbers.

Click on on graph for bigger picture.

This information reveals the seven day common of each day whole traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Gentle Blue), 2020 (Blue) and 2021 (Purple).

The dashed line is the % of 2019 for the seven day common.

This information is as of Could 2nd.

The seven day common is down 40.6% from the identical day in 2019 (59.4% of 2019).  (Dashed line)

There was a sluggish enhance from the underside, with ups and downs as a result of holidays – and TSA information has picked up in 2021, however principally sideways over the past a number of weeks.


—– Eating places: OpenTable —–


The second graph reveals the 7 day common of the year-over-year change in diners as tabulated by OpenTable for the US and several other chosen cities.
IMPORTANT: OpenTable notes: “we’ve up to date the information together with downloadable dataset from January 1, 2021 onward to check seated diners from 2021 to 2019, versus yr over yr.” Thanks!

Move Box OfficeBecause of OpenTable for offering this restaurant information:

This information is up to date by Could 1, 2021.

This information is “a pattern of eating places on the OpenTable community throughout all channels: on-line reservations, cellphone reservations, and walk-ins. For year-over-year comparisons by day, we examine to the identical day of the week from the identical week within the earlier yr.”

Be aware that this information is for “solely the eating places which have chosen to reopen in a given market”. Since some eating places haven’t reopened, the precise year-over-year decline is worse than proven.

Eating picked up through the holidays, then slumped with the massive winter surge in circumstances.  Eating was choosing up once more, however has moved up and down over the past couple of weeks.  Florida and Texas are above 2019 ranges.


—– Film Tickets: Field Workplace Mojo —–


Move Box OfficeThis information reveals home field workplace for every week and the median for the years 2016 by 2019 (dashed gentle blue).  

Blue is 2020 and Purple is 2021.  

The info is from BoxOfficeMojo by Apr twenty ninth.

Be aware that the information is often noisy week-to-week and relies on when blockbusters are launched.

Film ticket gross sales had been at $61 million final week,  down about 79% from the median for the week.


—– Lodge Occupancy: STR —–


Hotel Occupancy RateThis graph reveals the seasonal sample for the lodge occupancy fee utilizing the 4 week common.

The crimson line is for 2021, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed gentle blue is for 2009 (the worst yr because the Nice Melancholy for accommodations – earlier than 2020).

Occupancy is now above the horrible 2009 ranges.

This information is thru April twenty fourth. Lodge occupancy is at present down 17% in comparison with similar week in 2019). Be aware: Occupancy was up year-over-year, since occupancy declined sharply on the onset of the pandemic. Nonetheless, occupancy remains to be down considerably from regular ranges.

Notes: Y-axis does not begin at zero to raised present the seasonal change.



—– Gasoline Equipped: Vitality Info Administration —–


gasoline ConsumptionThis graph, primarily based on weekly information from the U.S. Vitality Info Administration (EIA), reveals gasoline provided in comparison with the similar week of 2019.

Blue is for 2020.  Purple is for 2021.

As of April twenty third, gasoline provided was off about 3.4% (about 96.6% of the identical week in 2019).

Gasoline provided was up year-over-year, since at one level, gasoline provided was off nearly 50% YoY in 2020.


—– Transit: Apple Mobility —–


This graph is from Apple mobility. From Apple: “This information is generated by counting the variety of requests made to Apple Maps for instructions in choose international locations/areas, sub-regions, and cities.” That is only a basic information – people who often commute in all probability do not ask for instructions.

There’s additionally some nice information on mobility from the Dallas Fed Mobility and Engagement Index. Nonetheless the index is about “relative to its weekday-specific common over January–February”, and isn’t seasonally adjusted, so we won’t inform if a rise in mobility is because of restoration or simply the conventional enhance within the Spring and Summer season.

Apple Mobility Data
This information is thru Could 1st for the US and several other chosen cities.

The graph is the operating 7 day common to take away the impression of weekends.

IMPORTANT: All information is relative to January 13, 2020. This information is NOT Seasonally Adjusted. Individuals stroll and drive extra when the climate is sweet, so I am simply utilizing the transit information.

In response to the Apple information instructions requests, public transit within the 7 day common for the US is at 68% of the January 2020 degree. It’s at 67% in Chicago, and 60% in Houston – and shifting up lately.


—– New York Metropolis Subway Utilization —–


Right here is a few attention-grabbing information on New York subway utilization (HT BR).

New York City Subway UsageThis graph is from Todd W Schneider. That is weekly information since 2015. 

Most weeks are between 30 and 35 million entries, and at present there greater than 10 million subway turnstile entries per week – and rising.

This information is thru Friday, April thirtieth.

Schneider has graphs for every borough, and hyperlinks to all the information sources.

He notes: “Information updates weekly from the MTA’s public turnstile information, often on Saturday mornings”.



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