Seven Excessive Frequency Indicators for the Economic system

These indicators are largely for journey and leisure.    It can attention-grabbing to observe these sectors get better because the vaccine is distributed.    IMPORTANT: Be secure now – if all goes properly, everybody might be vaccinated by June. —– Airways: Transportation Safety Administration —– The TSA is offering each day journey numbers. Click on


These indicators are largely for journey and leisure.    It can attention-grabbing to observe these sectors get better because the vaccine is distributed.   

IMPORTANT: Be secure now – if all goes properly, everybody might be vaccinated by June.


—– Airways: Transportation Safety Administration —–


The TSA is offering each day journey numbers.

Click on on graph for bigger picture.

This information exhibits the seven day common of each day whole traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Gentle Blue), 2020 (Blue) and 2021 (Pink).

The dashed line is the p.c of 2019 for the seven day common.

This information is as of Could twenty third.

The seven day common is down 32.0% from the identical day in 2019 (68.0% of 2019).  (Dashed line)

There was a sluggish enhance from the underside – and TSA information has picked up in 2021.


—– Eating places: OpenTable —–


The second graph exhibits the 7 day common of the year-over-year change in diners as tabulated by OpenTable for the US and a number of other chosen cities.
IMPORTANT: OpenTable notes: “we’ve up to date the information together with downloadable dataset from January 1, 2021 onward to check seated diners from 2021 to 2019, versus yr over yr.” Thanks!

Move Box OfficeBecause of OpenTable for offering this restaurant information:

This information is up to date by means of Could 22, 2021.

This information is “a pattern of eating places on the OpenTable community throughout all channels: on-line reservations, telephone reservations, and walk-ins. For year-over-year comparisons by day, we evaluate to the identical day of the week from the identical week within the earlier yr.”

Observe that this information is for “solely the eating places which have chosen to reopen in a given market”. Since some eating places haven’t reopened, the precise year-over-year decline is worse than proven.

Eating picked up through the holidays, then slumped with the large winter surge in circumstances.  Eating was choosing up once more.  Florida and Texas are above 2019 ranges.


—– Film Tickets: Field Workplace Mojo —–


Move Box OfficeThis information exhibits home field workplace for every week and the median for the years 2016 by means of 2019 (dashed gentle blue).  

Blue is 2020 and Pink is 2021.  

The info is from BoxOfficeMojo by means of Could twentieth.

Observe that the information is often noisy week-to-week and depends upon when blockbusters are launched.

Film ticket gross sales have been at $32 million final week,  down about 83% from the median for the week.


—– Lodge Occupancy: STR —–


Hotel Occupancy RateThis graph exhibits the seasonal sample for the lodge occupancy price utilizing the 4 week common.

The purple line is for 2021, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed gentle blue is for 2009 (the worst yr because the Nice Melancholy for inns – earlier than 2020).

Occupancy is now barely above the horrible 2009 ranges.

This information is thru Could fifteenth. Lodge occupancy is presently down 16% in comparison with identical week in 2019). Observe: Occupancy was up year-over-year, since occupancy declined sharply on the onset of the pandemic. Nevertheless, occupancy continues to be down considerably from regular ranges.

Notes: Y-axis would not begin at zero to raised present the seasonal change.



—– Gasoline Equipped: Power Info Administration —–


gasoline ConsumptionThis graph, based mostly on weekly information from the U.S. Power Info Administration (EIA), exhibits gasoline equipped in comparison with the identical week of 2019.

Blue is for 2020.  Pink is for 2021.

As of Could 14th, gasoline equipped was off about 2.2% (about 97.8% of the identical week in 2019).

Gasoline equipped was up year-over-year, since at one level, gasoline equipped was off virtually 50% YoY in 2020.


—– Transit: Apple Mobility —–


This graph is from Apple mobility. From Apple: “This information is generated by counting the variety of requests made to Apple Maps for instructions in choose international locations/areas, sub-regions, and cities.” That is only a common information – those who frequently commute in all probability do not ask for instructions.

There’s additionally some nice information on mobility from the Dallas Fed Mobility and Engagement Index. Nevertheless the index is ready “relative to its weekday-specific common over January–February”, and isn’t seasonally adjusted, so we won’t inform if a rise in mobility is because of restoration or simply the traditional enhance within the Spring and Summer time.

Apple Mobility Data
This information is thru Could twenty second for the USA and a number of other chosen cities.

The graph is the working 7 day common to take away the affect of weekends.

IMPORTANT: All information is relative to January 13, 2020. This information is NOT Seasonally Adjusted. Individuals stroll and drive extra when the climate is sweet, so I am simply utilizing the transit information.

In line with the Apple information instructions requests, public transit within the 7 day common for the US is at 78% of the January 2020 degree and shifting up.


—– New York Metropolis Subway Utilization —–


Right here is a few attention-grabbing information on New York subway utilization (HT BR).

New York City Subway UsageThis graph is from Todd W Schneider. That is weekly information since 2015. 

Most weeks are between 30 and 35 million entries, and presently there greater than 11 million subway turnstile entries per week – and growing.

This information is thru Friday, Could twenty first.

Schneider has graphs for every borough, and hyperlinks to all the information sources.

He notes: “Information updates weekly from the MTA’s public turnstile information, often on Saturday mornings”.



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