New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg

by Calculated Risk on 5/23/2022 08:45:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Moving Up to Start New Week Mortgage rates are coming off their best 2 weeks in quite some time–a feat that sounds more impressive than it is by the time we consider the precursors. Namely, the improvement in rates


by Calculated Risk on 5/23/2022 08:45:00 PM

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Moving Up to Start New Week

Mortgage rates are coming off their best 2 weeks in quite some time–a feat that sounds more impressive than it is by the time we consider the precursors. Namely, the improvement in rates was heavily dependent on vastly bigger movement in the stock market. Stocks and rates don’t always move in unison, but when stocks fall enough, it can indicate that investors are seeking safer havens for cash (i.e. moving away from risk). [30 year fixed 5.36%]
emphasis added

Tuesday:
• At 10:00 AM ET, New Home Sales for April from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for 750 thousand SAAR, down from 763 thousand SAAR in March.

• Also at 10:00 AM: Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for May.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID Metrics
  Now Week
Ago
Goal
Percent fully Vaccinated 66.5% ≥70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated (millions) 220.9 ≥2321
New Cases per Day3🚩 102,940 93,377 ≤5,0002
Hospitalized3🚩 17,432 15,982 ≤3,0002
Deaths per Day3🚩 281 276 ≤502
1 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

✅ Goal met.


Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.

New cases have quadrupled from the recent low, and hospitalizations and deaths are increasing week-over-week.

Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.



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