Calculated Risk: August 20th COVID-19: Cases May be Peaking

by Calculated Risk on 8/20/2021 03:19:00 PM Some good news: Cases may be peaking, and this is the second consecutive day with over 1 million doses administered! This data is from the CDC. The 7-day average hospitalizations is the highest since February 8th. The 7-day average deaths is the highest since April 1st. According to


by Calculated Risk on 8/20/2021 03:19:00 PM

Some good news: Cases may be peaking, and this is the second consecutive day with over 1 million doses administered!

This data is from the CDC.

The 7-day average hospitalizations is the highest since February 8th.

The 7-day average deaths is the highest since April 1st.

According to the CDC, on Vaccinations.

Total doses administered: 360,634,287, as of a week ago 354,777,950. Average doses last week: 0.84 million per day.


COVID Metrics
  Today Yesterday Week
Ago
Goal
Percent fully
Vaccinated
51.2% 51.1% 50.5% ≥70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated
(millions)
170.0 169.6 167.7 ≥2321
New Cases
per Day3🚩
130,926 133,088 119,972 ≤5,0002
Hospitalized3🚩 78,399 77,214 64,658 ≤3,0002
Deaths per Day3🚩 686 640 585 ≤502
1 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths

✅ Goal met.


IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).  

KUDOS to the residents of the 7 states that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 67.3%, Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland and New Jersey at 60.2%.


The following 17 states and D.C. have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Washington at 59.2%, New Hampshire, New York State, New Mexico, Oregon, District of Columbia, Virginia, Colorado, Minnesota, California, Hawaii, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Nebraska, Iowa  and Illinois at 50.2%.


Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Michigan at 49.8%, South Dakota at 48.3%, Ohio at 47.6%, Kentucky at 47.2%, Kansas at 46.9%, Arizona at 46.8%, Alaska at 46.5%, Utah at 46.5%, and Nevada at 46.4%.


Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.



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